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In it, Sonia Jerez of the Regional Atmospheric Modeling group of the University of Murcia (UMU) establishes, together with a group of researchers led by Marco Turco of the University of Barcelona (UB), a system that improves the forecast of forest fires related to the weather.
The results obtained stand out given the scarcity of analyzes on this type of climate services, since all the previous works are limited to certain seasons and / or regions.
As a result of these, existing systems can be complemented and a global one developed, with a view to improving transnational fire management strategies, such as those affecting Spain and Portugal at the same time.
"Although its implementation in operational mode is still a big challenge due, above all, to the limitations of the monitoring systems and the scarcity of quality records in areas such as Africa and South America", clarifies the scientist.
For this, they have developed empirical models that relate the burned area with previous data on rainfall, and incorporate seasonal weather forecasts for the area into this information.
"An important novelty of our work is the combination of ad-hoc climate observations and forecasts, exploiting not only the best available climate information, but also the most influential at each point of the globe, that is, there are regions where preconditions most influence ( drought in the previous season) and in others planned (very hot summer forecast) ", illustrates the researcher.
The project is also collaborated by: the classmate of the Turkish department, Maria del Carme Llasat;
Francisco J. Doblas Reyes, of the Barcelona Supercomputing Center (BSC);
Amir AghaKouchak of the University of California (USA);
and Antonello Provenzale, of the Institute of Geosciences and Geosciences (IGG) of the Italian National Research Council (CNR).
Jerez published another article in the same magazine this year on the need to include the effect of greenhouse gases in regional simulations of climate change projections.
Likewise, it collaborates with the UCC + i of the UMU, disclosing its findings.
In this sense he participated in the Pint of Science of Murcia with his presentation 'Climate change: to God what is God's, to Caesar what is Caesar's'.
His current line of work involves the relationship between climate and renewable energies, motivated by climate change.
Specifically, in this collaboration, her participation has been as an expert in the understanding of climate variability
Source: Universidad de Murcia
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